Bangladesh Cricket

Pakistan vs Australia 3rd ODI Match, Dream 11 Prediction, Fantasy Cricket Guide

Tanay Hughes · · 7 min read

The stage is set for an epic finale as the decider of the three-match ODI series draws near. Fans and fantasy managers alike are gearing up for the highly anticipated Pakistan vs Australia 3rd ODI Match, Dream 11 Prediction, Fantasy Cricket analysis. With the series level at 1-1, the ultimate showdown at the historic Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore on June 4 will determine who takes home the silverware. Pakistan started the series with immense strength but faltered in the second game, while Australia staged a remarkable comeback to keep their hopes alive. This detailed preview covers everything you need to know, from pitch conditions to top fantasy picks.

Match Preview: A High-Stakes Decider in Lahore

The ongoing ODI series between Pakistan and Australia has been a rollercoaster of emotions. After Pakistan’s initial dominance, Australia displayed incredible resilience in the second ODI to level the playing field. This third match is not just a series decider; it is a battle of tactics, temperament, and execution under extreme pressure. Both camps realize that any slip-up here will cost them the series, making this encounter a must-watch event for cricket enthusiasts worldwide.

Pakistan: Seeking Batting Consistency and Cohesion

Pakistan enters this critical fixture with a sense of urgency, knowing they squandered a fantastic opportunity to seal the series in the second match. The Pakistani bowling unit performed exceptionally well, executing their plans perfectly to restrict a potent Australian batting lineup to a modest 231/9. However, the batting department let the team down, crumbling under pressure and getting bowled out for a mere 190 runs.

Despite the batting collapse, there were a few positive takeaways. Shadab Khan showed incredible fighting spirit, scoring a resilient 71 runs off 104 deliveries. He was supported by Ghazi Ghori, who chipped in with a useful 37, and the young Arafat Minhas, who added 33 runs. Unfortunately, the top order failed to lay a solid foundation. Key players like Babar Azam, Sahibzada Farhan, and Salman Ali Agha will need to shoulder more responsibility and build substantial partnerships at the top to give Pakistan a winning chance in this final match.

Fortunately, Pakistan’s bowling remains their absolute strongest asset. Shaheen Afridi led the attack beautifully with figures of 3 wickets in the previous game. Spinners Arafat Minhas and Abrar Ahmed picked up two wickets each, demonstrating great control in the middle overs, while speedster Haris Rauf wrapped up his spell with two vital wickets. If the batsmen can back up this world-class bowling unit, Pakistan will be incredibly hard to beat on their home turf.

Australia: Momentum and Resilience on Their Side

Australia showed the heart of a champion in the second ODI, pulling off a clinical victory to keep the series alive. Their batsmen displayed far greater composure on a tricky Lahore surface, while their bowlers put on an absolute masterclass to stifle Pakistan’s run chase and secure a comfortable win.

Key contributions came from Josh Inglis, who anchored the innings with a mature 51 runs, and the talented all-rounder Cameron Green, who scored a vital 53. Solid contributions from Matt Renshaw (43 runs) and Oliver Peake (31 runs) helped Australia post a competitive total of 231/9. While they did not completely dominate the game with the bat, their ability to grind out runs on a demanding pitch proved to be the difference-maker.

With the ball, Australia was nothing short of exceptional. Nathan Ellis was the star of the show, tearing through the Pakistani lineup to claim spectacular figures of 4 for 33, earning him the well-deserved Player of the Match award. All-rounder Matthew Short surprised the hosts by picking up 3 crucial wickets, while the spin duo of Adam Zampa and Tanveer Sangha choked the scoring rate during the middle overs. Australia will rely heavily on this bowling momentum to restrict Pakistan once again.

Pitch & Weather Report for Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore

Pitch Analysis

The pitch at Gaddafi Stadium has historically favored batsmen, but during this series, it has offered a lot of assistance to the bowlers. The surface is expected to be slow, with relatively low bounce, making it challenging for batsmen to play aggressive shots from the get-go. Patience will be the key to success here. Batters must focus on rotating the strike, finding gaps, and avoiding high-risk shots. Fast bowlers will get some movement with the new ball, while spinners are expected to play a massive role during the middle overs. A score above 270 is considered highly competitive and defendable on this track.

Toss Prediction

Historical data reveals that out of the nine head-to-head matches played at Gaddafi Stadium, the teams batting first have emerged victorious five times. Chasing under lights becomes difficult due to the slowing nature of the pitch. Therefore, the captain winning the toss is highly likely to opt to bat first, put up a solid total, and pressure the opposition during the chase.

Weather Forecast

The weather in Lahore is predicted to be hot and dry throughout the match. Temperatures are expected to hover around 34–35°C, with no threat of rain. These dry conditions mean the pitch might dry up further as the game progresses, offering additional assistance to the spinners in the second innings.

Head-to-Head Record and Venue Statistics

In their last five ODI encounters, Pakistan holds a slight advantage with three victories compared to Australia’s two. Pakistan previously enjoyed a strong run of consecutive wins after pulling off impressive comebacks, but Australia’s recent resurgence has leveled the playing field, making this deciding match incredibly hard to call.

Match Prediction & Betting Insights

This series decider is set to be an absolute thriller. While Australia possesses immense momentum from their second ODI win, Pakistan holds a slight edge due to their familiarity with home conditions and a superior spin-bowling attack. Pakistan’s depth in bowling makes them marginal favorites to win the series 2-1.

However, betting markets suggest a highly competitive match. Australia’s diverse bowling lineup, led by Nathan Ellis and supported by spin, gives them a unique tactical edge. If Shaheen Afridi strikes early for Pakistan, the game could swing in the hosts’ favor. Pro tip: Expect early breakthroughs and consider placing a bet on at least one wicket falling during the first powerplay, as both previous games saw early dismissals. Ultimately, backing Pakistan to win on home soil remains a strong choice.

Probable Playing XIs

Pakistan Probable XI

  • Sahibzada Farhan
  • Maaz Sadaqat
  • Babar Azam
  • Ghazi Ghori (wk)
  • Arafat Minhas
  • Salman Agha
  • Abdul Samad
  • Shadab Khan
  • Shaheen Afridi (c)
  • Haris Rauf
  • Abrar Ahmed

Australia Probable XI

  • Alex Carey
  • Matthew Short
  • Josh Inglis (c) (wk)
  • Marnus Labuschagne
  • Cameron Green
  • Matt Renshaw
  • Oliver Peake
  • Nathan Ellis
  • Tanveer Sangha
  • Matthew Kuhnemann
  • Adam Zampa

Top Fantasy Picks for Dream11 Prediction

Selecting the right balance of players is crucial for maximizing your points in fantasy cricket. Here are the key players you must consider for your fantasy team:

Pakistan Key Players

  • Babar Azam: The master batsman was dismissed early in the second ODI after anchoring Pakistan to victory with a match-winning half-century in the series opener. Following Pakistan’s batting collapse in the previous match, Babar will be highly motivated to lead from the front, anchor the innings, and secure the series win. He remains a top captaincy choice.

Australia Key Players

  • Matt Renshaw: Renshaw has been highly impressive in this series, scoring 104 runs across two matches at an outstanding average of 52. His calm composure and ability to anchor the innings under tough conditions make him an invaluable asset for your fantasy squad.
  • Nathan Ellis: The right-arm speedster is in red-hot form, leading the Australian bowling attack with 7 wickets at an exceptional average of 8.43. His precision, subtle variations, and disciplined line and length make him a must-have pick who can guarantee fantasy points.
Tanay Hughes

Tanay Hughes is a senior cricket correspondent for the Daily FT, Sri Lanka’s leading financial daily. Of Burgher descent, Hughes grew up steeped in the island’s rich literary and cricketing traditions. He covers the national team, the World Test Championship, and the domestic circuit with a special focus on spin bowling and the transformation of cricket infrastructure after the civil war. His work also explores the business side of the sport, including broadcasting deals and the financial pressures on smaller Test-playing nations. A Colombo native and University of Colombo graduate, Hughes is a regular voice on Sri Lankan television panels and contributes to The Cricketer and Wisden online.